Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 3.230483 3.565892 3.928957 4.352428 4.834385 5.367680 6.004973
2025-08-31 2.728812 3.173255 3.686968 4.329292 5.117422 6.061342 7.290174
2025-09-07 2.484101 3.000655 3.627362 4.453298 5.527612 6.898102 8.812390
2025-09-14 2.247884 2.795020 3.483990 4.430118 5.719398 7.450919 10.016076
2025-09-21 2.055922 2.618103 3.348256 4.386364 5.858585 7.926610 11.155430
2025-09-28 1.846340 2.395540 3.126409 4.194680 5.759295 8.039523 11.759244
2025-10-05 1.744693 2.307286 3.074945 4.229709 5.979313 8.631268 13.168324
2025-10-12 1.670151 2.248632 3.056824 4.306353 6.262527 9.343887 14.872006
2025-10-19 1.603260 2.194389 3.038449 4.377241 6.538920 10.071698 16.709869
2025-10-26 1.541026 2.141432 3.016212 4.437300 6.799832 10.799417 18.661341
2025-11-02 1.477412 2.081418 2.977747 4.466139 7.008459 11.457276 20.586931
2025-11-09 1.381592 1.966718 2.847198 4.333980 6.927082 11.583290 21.469244
2025-11-16 1.307837 1.882876 2.761435 4.272580 6.969854 11.955041 22.956428
2025-11-23 1.248953 1.818611 2.702386 4.251212 7.081980 12.472586 24.861220
2025-11-30 1.224485 1.806557 2.725828 4.372574 7.467800 13.576674 28.326959
2025-12-07 1.173550 1.749061 2.670606 4.349935 7.576841 14.129847 30.599051
2025-12-14 1.122873 1.689096 2.607308 4.307167 7.641153 14.595153 32.751152
2025-12-21 1.049908 1.589007 2.470568 4.119768 7.399006 14.363206 33.024647
2025-12-28 1.020853 1.560120 2.453799 4.154018 7.610324 15.169272 36.312058
2026-01-04 1.000410 1.544429 2.458639 4.228950 7.913174 16.228273 40.599489
2026-01-11 0.980156 1.527884 2.460725 4.298249 8.210782 17.319415 45.298237
2026-01-18 0.959350 1.509239 2.457753 4.356957 8.490998 18.411044 50.334130
2026-01-25 0.935197 1.483536 2.440382 4.385145 8.705298 19.368365 55.229530